QUARTERLY LETTER


Published First Quarter 2006
Muhlenkamp Memorandum 77

Quarterly Letter    
by Ron Muhlenkamp   

Three months ago, we warned that “if the refineries which were shut down for, or by, the hurricanes are too slow coming back up to full capacity, we may have shortages of gasoline for a period measured in weeks.” Our warning was unnecessary. With operations worldwide, the major oil companies were able to import enough gasoline (in place of crude oil) to keep Americans supplied. Prices jumped and (for a while) we used less gasoline, but usage is back up to normal and prices are nearly back to where they were pre-Katrina. For their efforts, executives of the major oil companies received a political tongue-lashing from Congress, but that’s probably in their job description.

I’m writing this letter just before Christmas, but our summary of six months ago remains the same. The economy is growing nicely; when we see the data on Christmas sales, it will help our assessment.

Inflation remains roughly at 2%. Given that, interest rates and stock prices are fair.

We continue to research good companies, selling at reasonable prices.


The comments made by Ron Muhlenkamp in this article are his opinion and are not intended to be investment advice or a forcast of future events. Copies of past newsletters are available on our website at www.muhlenkamp.com.

 


 


 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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